Market · 29 of 46 outcomes

Jean Castex

Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 08:48 UTC. Not financial advice.

Market · 29 of 46 outcomes

Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Chance of Yes

34 more outcomes in this event.

None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.

Proven traders, money on each side

1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.

Top holders after netting each trader's Yes shares against their No shares
Trader	Side	Shares	Bought at	Worth now	Record
PascalPro0xe947…ab96	No	913	92.3¢	$864	New69 settled bets
0x5c66…31e3	No	63	89.8¢	$60	Break-even

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

Decided by: The market resolves "Yes" if Jean Castex is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.§3
No list published: If no candidate list is published before the election, the market resolves based on which candidates appear on the ballot.§5
No election by deadline: If no list is published and the election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No".§6
Otherwise: Otherwise, the market resolves to "No".§4
Counted: Inclusion on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election.§3
Source: The official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.§7
Closes: Apr 18, 2027 · 23:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 08:48 UTC. Not financial advice.