Market · 30 of 46 outcomes
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 913 | 92.3¢ | $864 | New69 settled bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | No | 63 | 89.8¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 46 | 95.5¢ | $43 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 25 | 88.0¢ | $24 | Proven+$26.89 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Nenels0x5d10…b5e7 | No | 24 | 93.8¢ | $22 | — |
| sushilord0xe6d4…22da | No | 22 | 92.8¢ | $20 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 280 | 5.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 8,497 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 236 | 5.9¢ | $13 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 189 | 5.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,530 bets |
| nitum0xc601…36aa | No | 10 | 89.4¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 114 | 6.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| wynfo0x25c4…4b12 | No | 5 | 93.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 92 | 6.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.98 per $100 · 51,555 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 82 | 2.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 5.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Tatabow0xc93c…3988 | No | 2 | 91.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Donalddingue0x4262…358e | No | 1 | 91.1¢ | $1 | — |
| AnonymeD0xced9…4e81 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hr26g2re62de0xe381…3ba9 | Yes | 13 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 4 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 37sfdsfsdfds0x1e30…49ae | Yes | 0 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.