Market · 34 of 36 outcomes
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 396 | 95.3¢ | $386 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 150 | 93.8¢ | $147 | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 145 | 5.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 100 | 5.2¢ | $2 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 94 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play