Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 439 | 92.1¢ | $420 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,101 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 243 | 73.1¢ | $233 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 123 | 95.2¢ | $118 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 919 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 89.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 225 | 9.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 115 | 15.4¢ | $5 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 52 | 7.7¢ | $2 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | No | 40 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | No | 35 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 30 | 31.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 21 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 21 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| freedom690x9362…d4a4 | No | 20 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 10 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 7 | 27.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | No | 1 | 27.8¢ | $0 | — |
| AllyouneedisClaude0x4708…9580 | No | 0 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election · 2026 · 2 events · $6.18K in play