Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 439 | 92.1¢ | $420 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 243 | 73.1¢ | $233 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 123 | 95.2¢ | $118 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 20 | 89.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 225 | 9.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 115 | 15.4¢ | $5 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election · 2026 · 2 events · $6.18K in play