Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 4 outcomes add up to 94.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election · 2026 · 2 events · $6.18K in play
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| blacksilver0xe312…4a76 | No | 786 | 47.3¢ | $522 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,345 | 80.2¢ | $451 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 |
| No |
| 547 |
| 16.7¢ |
| $364 |
| Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 480 | 53.8¢ | $161 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 371 | 72.0¢ | $124 | — |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | Yes | 259 | 34.0¢ | $87 | — |