Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| blacksilver0xe312…4a76 | No | 786 | 47.3¢ | $534 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,345 | 80.2¢ | $430 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 547 | 16.7¢ | $372 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 480 | 53.8¢ | $154 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | Yes | 371 | 72.0¢ | $119 | — |
| Permanent-revolution0xdbc5…4d5f | Yes | 259 | 34.0¢ | $83 | — |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Yes | 217 | 45.2¢ | $70 | — |
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | Yes | 200 | 35.0¢ | $64 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 130 | 31.9¢ | $42 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 60 | 38.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| ChiangWan-an0x0d5e…5c24 | Yes | 90 | 35.8¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.93 per $100 · 1,861 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 40 | 37.5¢ | $27 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| dandawo0xc151…7634 | Yes | 54 | 36.2¢ | $17 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 24 | 50.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| FrozenUSDC0xb5e8…a5f9 | Yes | 50 | 34.9¢ | $16 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 58.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| Thundyr0x0791…385b | No | 20 | 29.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x745a…64e8 | No | 20 | 14.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 8,448 bets |
| sanmos1110x8a57…0358 | No | 20 | 32.0¢ | $14 | — |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 18 | 11.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xe2b4…3c5a | Yes | 37 | 36.9¢ | $12 | — |
| GhostMbao0xab27…ab66 | Yes | 36 | 40.0¢ | $11 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 16 | 70.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 29 | 35.9¢ | $9 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 24 | 3.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 17 | 61.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| pc-company0x34c6…ea15 | Yes | 16 | 63.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x7157…e799 | Yes | 11 | 63.9¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 417 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 70.0¢ | $3 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 5 | 41.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 9 | 59.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xec17…0af9 | Yes | 7 | 63.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 7 | 35.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| JigleBell0xef42…b1f7 | Yes | 6 | 35.9¢ | $2 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | Yes | 4 | 59.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x89ea…6063 | Yes | 3 | 37.9¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| POB10xb431…82ec | Yes | 0 | 71.5¢ | $0 | — |
| smarterstrat0xe550…6f6e | Yes | 0 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | 0 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election · 2026 · 2 events · $6.18K in play
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.