Market · 13 of 16 outcomes
Will François Hollande win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 06:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 66 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,561+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 37 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| helic0pter0x4b3e…cfae | Yes | 24 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 11 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 131.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.