Market · 5 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | 195 | 58.0¢ | $133 | — |
| Tian-Wen0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | 82 | 66.9¢ | $56 | Proven+$12.91 per $100 · 3,547 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 |
| Yes |
| 55 |
| 68.5¢ |
| $37 |
| Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 100 | 54.0¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 88 | 54.8¢ | $28 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 40 | 50.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 30 shares each side · Show
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19 more outcomes in this event.