Market · 1 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
19 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|
| tbyck0x6510…ea95 | Yes | 1,371 | 96.7¢ | $1.32K | — |
| polybettor0x5d5e…9a5e | Yes | 828 | 99.3¢ | $798 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| 05610x6e9a…f3bb | Yes | 340 | 94.2¢ | $327 | — |
| 0x39fd…7d31 | Yes | 300 | 93.2¢ | $289 | Positive+$2.28 per $100 · 337 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 70 | 96.2¢ | $67 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| 0x0524…1479 | Yes | 55 | 99.9¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 10,876 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.