Market · 1 of 31 outcomes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tbyck0x6510…ea95 | Yes | 1,371 | 96.7¢ | $1.32K | — |
| polybettor0x5d5e…9a5e | Yes | 828 | 99.3¢ | $799 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| 05610x6e9a…f3bb | Yes | 340 | 94.2¢ | $328 | — |
| 0x39fd…7d31 | Yes | 300 | 93.2¢ | $289 | Positive+$2.28 per $100 · 337 bets |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 70 | 96.2¢ | $68 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| k7730xc118…fac0 | Yes | 58 | 99.0¢ | $55 | — |
| 0x0524…1479 | Yes | 55 | 99.9¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 10,876 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 30 | 98.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,274 bets |
| gtrade930xc7de…a7df | No | 706 | 7.4¢ | $25 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 410 | 1.2¢ | $15 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| Strif80x44c1…988f | No | 358 | 2.9¢ | $13 | New5 settled bets |
| RekMyAds0x871c…a84f | No | 200 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 182 | 2.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| hihi1234560xb5c2…f623 | No | 178 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 173 | 6.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 151 | 2.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 5-testfollower-car0x3be5…f7fe | Yes | 5 | 96.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 808 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 120 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| DFchok0x0251…1987 | No | 120 | 8.7¢ | $4 | New9 settled bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 108 | 4.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| marionortegaficr0xda40…f5ac | Yes | 2 | 99.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x49c4…db5b | No | 50 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | No | 50 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| p4n0x9c05…abc9 | No | 47 | 11.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd309…d769 | No | 46 | 3.7¢ | $2 | — |
| rusiimwameagan0x261d…4918 | Yes | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 103 bets |
| jardin930xbb99…ca7c | No | 34 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ccyy20260x4282…3455 | Yes | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| OffShoreG0xd70e…6f8a | Yes | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| GatomontesRose0x1852…6721 | No | 24 | 8.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Idjelk0x08f2…59b0 | No | 16 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 15 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Monxixilailau0xf894…54e0 | No | 11 | 9.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | No | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | No | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| cocacole0xcad0…330a | No | 10 | 9.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | No | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.