Market · 11 of 42 outcomes
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PappyB0x316a…c449 | Yes | 259,077 | 0.4¢ | $1.94K | New9 settled bets |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 117,439 | 0.3¢ | $881 | Proven+$9.44 per $100 · 906 bets |
| TheArchitect760x854d…deb0 | Yes | 108,534 | 0.3¢ | $814 | Losing−$1.50 per $100 · 375 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 75,555 | 0.4¢ | $567 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 0xeb40…174b | Yes | 64,149 | 0.4¢ | $481 | New1 settled bet |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 59,537 | 0.4¢ | $447 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| RBax0x4366…c73e | Yes | 48,345 | 0.4¢ | $363 | Proven+$11.27 per $100 · 547 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 46,511 | 0.4¢ | $349 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 30,231 | 0.7¢ | $227 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| o-1j8y540xd1af…701e | Yes | 25,813 | 0.5¢ | $194 | — |
| skyasm0x40df…c9b5 | Yes | 23,761 | 0.8¢ | $178 | — |
| Sykhlos0x521e…689b | Yes | 16,201 | 1.3¢ | $122 | — |
| ERN9930x8740…6fac | Yes | 13,784 | 0.4¢ | $103 | Positive+$6.18 per $100 · 849 bets |
| 0x82d2…6337 | Yes | 13,101 | 0.6¢ | $98 | — |
| teilo0xe62b…7a20 | Yes | 12,518 | 0.6¢ | $94 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 12,507 | 0.8¢ | $94 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| 0xa5a7…89cb | Yes | 12,000 | 0.6¢ | $90 | New19 settled bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,264 | 0.6¢ | $84 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 11,052 | 0.4¢ | $83 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 10,084 | 0.4¢ | $76 | — |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 9,146 | 0.4¢ | $69 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 6,892 | 0.7¢ | $52 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,498 | 0.8¢ | $49 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| wac450xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | 6,167 | 0.5¢ | $46 | — |
| Ddonineteen0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | 5,001 | 0.5¢ | $38 | — |
| weebbb30x09df…8344 | No | 32 | 99.4¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 196 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 4,144 | 0.8¢ | $31 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.2¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| miilong90xd440…166e | No | 30 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 3,965 | 0.0¢ | $30 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 3,471 | 0.4¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,294 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| LynxTitan0x6814…a9e7 | Yes | 2,878 | 0.8¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 36,873+ bets · updating |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 2,745 | 0.8¢ | $21 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| at.tar0x0876…8040 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.4¢ | $19 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 2,313 | 0.5¢ | $17 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $17 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,935 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 1,848 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| Ipredictthemarket0x8782…456e | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 1,582 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,457 bets |
| elrott0x07ec…3145 | Yes | 1,562 | 1.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 1,495 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0x1e82…af92 | Yes | 1,480 | 0.0¢ | $11 | — |
| JohnnyTenNumbers0x36f9…7e3b | Yes | 1,462 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$17.30 per $100 · 1,097 bets |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 1,412 | 0.0¢ | $11 | — |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1,313 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 1,215 | 0.0¢ | $9 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,067 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,051 | 0.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 295 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.