Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,043 | 74.2¢ | $871 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 3,717 | 24.5¢ | $613 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 700 | 81.2¢ | $585 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,256 bets |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | No | 404 | 77.4¢ | $337 | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 4,437 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 385 | 62.0¢ | $322 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,345 | 14.2¢ | $222 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,075 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 3 shares each side · Show
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These 9 outcomes add up to 96.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.