Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 50 | 95.8¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 94.0¢ | $40 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 20 | 95.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 8 | 98.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,005 bets |
| argus-br0x6753…b37d | No | 6 | 88.4¢ | $6 | — |