Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 50 | 95.8¢ | $50 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 94.0¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 8 | 98.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,054 bets |
| argus-br0x6753…b37d | No | 6 | 88.4¢ | $6 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 1 | 87.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,297 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,598 bets |
| lopesss0xde96…190c | Yes | 1,140 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.39 per $100 · 502 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1,060 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,100 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 791 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 781 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.43 per $100 · 579 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | Yes | 369 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 356 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 311 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 256 | 8.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 229 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| 0x4025…3644 | Yes | 179 | 8.7¢ | $0 | — |
| kroko0xf8cc…028a | Yes | 141 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.53 per $100 · 6,993 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 127 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 115 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,345 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 107 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 6,087 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 106 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 105 | 7.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 5,310 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 98 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.57 per $100 · 3,812 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | Yes | 85 | 11.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 81 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| lucassg0x7a8c…609d | Yes | 80 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 80 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 70 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 60 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 60 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 58,951 bets |
| 0xzipper0xe397…bfcb | Yes | 53 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 2,617 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 50 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 50 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe633…56b8 | Yes | 47 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| lololol30xb155…2d7a | Yes | 47 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 35 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 31 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | Yes | 26 | 12.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,884 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 26 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 24 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 23 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 21 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.84 per $100 · 22,091 bets |
| jfkjdfj30xc801…7686 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| efflo-polka0x4dd5…41dc | Yes | 15 | 6.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 11 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$45.07 per $100 · 12,069 bets |
| meitalg0x1790…30f7 | Yes | 10 | 11.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.11 per $100 · 1,362 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 4 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 2 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 2 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mapleggg0x6bdc…6fcd | Yes | 1 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.