Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,043 | 74.2¢ | $882 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 700 | 81.2¢ | $592 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,428 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 3,717 | 24.5¢ | $576 | Proven+$7.43 per $100 · 579 bets |
| 0x6b25…7a69 | No | 404 | 77.4¢ | $341 | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 4,437 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 385 | 62.0¢ | $326 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 1,345 | 14.2¢ | $208 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,325 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 210 | 77.5¢ | $178 | Break-even−$0.57 per $100 · 3,812 bets |
| Seeking-Alpha010x0a9c…d552 | Yes | 1,128 | 21.8¢ | $175 | — |
| SATNAD210xd3e9…28f3 | Yes | 1,031 | 20.0¢ | $160 | — |
| 0x05ae…5323 | No | 144 | 56.5¢ | $122 | — |
| fec19180xa79d…65ba | Yes | 755 | 21.8¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x282e…e8e6 | No | 134 | 89.2¢ | $113 | Proven+$4.71 per $100 · 116 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 118 | 78.7¢ | $100 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 5,310 bets |
| themain0x2f9d…deb3 | No | 116 | 84.7¢ | $98 | New40 settled bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 107 | 87.0¢ | $91 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| GuailanKia0x8f0b…eb6d | Yes | 500 | 39.3¢ | $78 | — |
| sidgley0xc4df…2313 | Yes | 471 | 13.4¢ | $73 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 373 | 4.7¢ | $58 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,812 bets |
| Higeafisio0x8868…bfdf | No | 59 | 89.4¢ | $50 | — |
| chocolatepudding0xb5e8…a5f9 | No | 56 | 73.8¢ | $47 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 52 | 87.7¢ | $44 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| charay120x9a51…bf4c | No | 52 | 73.8¢ | $44 | — |
| 0xeb42…73dd | Yes | 273 | 16.7¢ | $42 | — |
| Veverita820xe28b…23df | No | 50 | 88.8¢ | $42 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 250 | 29.8¢ | $39 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 250 | 15.1¢ | $39 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,446 bets |
| 0x9a02…7e46 | No | 43 | 76.7¢ | $36 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | Yes | 227 | 28.5¢ | $35 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 225 | 19.2¢ | $35 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 200 | 24.4¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Eliasjunior0xbf66…9859 | Yes | 200 | 17.1¢ | $31 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 31 | 68.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | 149 | 16.6¢ | $23 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| chavezjonathon0x1d18…d398 | No | 27 | 77.0¢ | $23 | — |
| micaelo0x3379…f44a | No | 25 | 89.4¢ | $21 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 25 | 85.5¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 86,771+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 25 | 89.2¢ | $21 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 25 | 81.6¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 120 | 42.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 18 | 63.8¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 13 | 82.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 71 | 18.6¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,005 bets |
| VarunaGroyp0x49ab…b629 | Yes | 67 | 20.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Frankieh0xeede…b29e | Yes | 67 | 15.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Zehhhh0x06f0…f7e9 | No | 11 | 90.4¢ | $9 | — |
| avkppa180evo0x63da…586b | Yes | 59 | 26.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$4.11 per $100 · 636 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 82.5¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 76.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aaab819d0x901e…58f0 | No | 8 | 81.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xa507…f17d | Yes | 40 | 30.0¢ | $6 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 40 | 35.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| 0xa1bf…66b8 | No | 7 | 86.0¢ | $6 | — |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 7 | 85.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 9,458 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 6 | 68.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| sajat5mm0xb349…39d8 | No | 5 | 89.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 5 | 63.9¢ | $4 | — |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | Yes | 24 | 42.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Tomdo0x0beb…4503 | Yes | 23 | 18.6¢ | $4 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| 0x1632…4e9f | Yes | 20 | 25.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 09F911029D740x4247…455f | No | 3 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | No | 3 | 82.0¢ | $3 | — |
| juniorgeleia0x81a1…1372 | Yes | 17 | 30.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 15 | 11.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| ojuso0x48f3…2fc2 | Yes | 13 | 40.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 2 | 80.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | Yes | 12 | 35.1¢ | $2 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 12 | 16.5¢ | $2 | — |
| meitalg0x1790…30f7 | Yes | 11 | 9.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.11 per $100 · 1,362 bets |
| isnE4ZgjkP3nxh0xdb9c…483d | Yes | 11 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 2 | 82.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 8,012 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| q27n8hk3rnkr0x6564…47ce | Yes | 10 | 51.5¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $2 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 9 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7658…1c26 | Yes | 9 | 21.9¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 7 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| burityps0xf1bc…f674 | Yes | 7 | 15.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x454f…1a4e | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| latamLLL0xd463…75e9 | Yes | 6 | 52.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ssanin820xc0b3…08c5 | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 1 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 0 | 78.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| sgtmike0x839f…d3f5 | No | 0 | 83.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.62 per $100 · 13,727 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 81.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc8c5…26e9 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 3 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.