Market · 4 of 19 outcomes
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
Next Israeli Prime Minister · 2026 Election · 1 event · $3.73M in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | No | 61,127 | 96.0¢ | $59.6K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 43,362 | 98.2¢ | $42.3K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 40,789 | 97.6¢ | $39.8K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 20,000 | 97.3¢ | $19.5K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| 18in36out0xa684…a33f | No | 19,231 | 98.3¢ | $18.8K | New28 settled bets |
| aff30xe52c…6924 | No | 18,447 | 95.8¢ | $18K | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 276 bets |
| SuperFake0x9901…6046 | No | 16,824 | 97.5¢ | $16.4K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,317 bets |
| hideo0x95bf…e00b | No | 10,304 | 97.0¢ | $10.1K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 384 bets |
| mulah0x744a…923b | No | 8,805 | 95.9¢ | $8.59K | New57 settled bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 7,496 | 97.2¢ | $7.31K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| slifsh0x75f3…a0d0 | No | 6,500 | 95.2¢ | $6.34K | New59 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 5,000 | 98.1¢ | $4.88K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0x6a6d…3c85 | No | 3,164 | 94.8¢ | $3.09K | Positive+$1.82 per $100 · 161 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 3,125 | 97.7¢ | $3.05K | New18 settled bets |
| Neon-Gargoyle0x1424…2c7f | No | 3,000 | 97.0¢ | $2.93K | Proven+$3.67 per $100 · 132 bets |
| 0xef97…ab2c | No | 3,000 | 98.2¢ | $2.93K | — |
| ClaudeIntern0x95b3…1df1 | No | 2,931 | 97.7¢ | $2.86K | Losing−$13.46 per $100 · 104 bets |
| 0xa2cd…2e8c | No | 2,567 | 97.2¢ | $2.5K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 921 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 2,500 | 97.2¢ | $2.44K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | No | 2,247 | 96.2¢ | $2.19K | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 2,066 | 96.8¢ | $2.02K | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| nicolemayer0x2717…66f4 | Yes | 66,866 | 2.8¢ | $1.64K | New35 settled bets |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 1,678 | 97.7¢ | $1.64K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 1,433 | 96.4¢ | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 1,328 | 97.8¢ | $1.3K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| Odin.Valhal0xdd0d…17b6 | No | 1,300 | 98.0¢ | $1.27K | New79 settled bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 1,221 | 97.1¢ | $1.19K | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| gh6y0omxinx80x0d83…8eb4 | No | 1,025 | 97.2¢ | $1K | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| AnonDWM0x1856…bea7 | Yes | 40,675 | 4.1¢ | $997 | New81 settled bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | Yes | 39,980 | 3.8¢ | $980 | Losing−$3.36 per $100 · 266 bets |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 1,000 | 94.0¢ | $976 | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| tl2000x2dc6…cf37 | No | 1,000 | 98.2¢ | $976 | New41 settled bets |
| PMFV0x6449…5b1f | No | 1,000 | 96.1¢ | $976 | New59 settled bets |
| user1223910xe340…2610 | No | 961 | 98.3¢ | $938 | — |
| Roht0x4fc1…ec92 | No | 830 | 97.3¢ | $810 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 8,836 bets |
| RayZehavi0x121e…7751 | Yes | 30,520 | 4.9¢ | $748 | New12 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 737 | 97.6¢ | $719 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| CtrlZ-1310x5eaa…d302 | No | 730 | 95.3¢ | $712 | New14 settled bets |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 725 | 49.7¢ | $707 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 609 | 96.7¢ | $594 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Insidepolitics0x35ab…a400 | Yes | 23,937 | 3.1¢ | $586 | New0 settled bets |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 595 | 96.6¢ | $580 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| 0xea0d…5866 | Yes | 21,031 | 4.1¢ | $515 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 266 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 500 | 95.9¢ | $488 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| ABC122000x5ae3…f978 | Yes | 19,850 | 25.2¢ | $486 | New2 settled bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 445 | 97.5¢ | $434 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Yosiko0xe33a…d8f7 | Yes | 17,389 | 4.1¢ | $426 | — |
| alternate010x5c4c…8131 | No | 420 | 98.4¢ | $410 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 126 bets |
| Jjw0xb1a1…d308 | No | 420 | 95.9¢ | $410 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,249 bets |
| Bronzi0xc5fa…9795 | No | 417 | 95.9¢ | $407 | — |
| 0x452d…f886 | No | 391 | 97.5¢ | $381 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 320 bets |
| machiavelia0x48ec…8f36 | No | 362 | 44.1¢ | $353 | Proven+$24.14 per $100 · 1,327 bets |
| Mikejg2-9770x215b…113c | Yes | 14,019 | 7.1¢ | $343 | New0 settled bets |
| Morgrur0xe6df…f822 | Yes | 13,500 | 2.2¢ | $331 | New96 settled bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 13,084 | 3.6¢ | $321 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| kohalacoastgabe0x63e3…f341 | Yes | 12,289 | 4.9¢ | $301 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 292 bets |
| aroma220x2e04…4db5 | Yes | 12,008 | 2.0¢ | $294 | New0 settled bets |
| GMB10x575f…ac27 | Yes | 10,348 | 3.1¢ | $254 | New15 settled bets |
| Liavco0xb706…7b7c | Yes | 10,098 | 2.5¢ | $247 | — |
| TheNetanyati0xbaaa…6021 | Yes | 10,069 | 2.9¢ | $247 | — |
| DorTovim0x392d…21a1 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.5¢ | $245 | Proven+$9.92 per $100 · 416 bets |
| DeRealDeal0x8095…300b | Yes | 9,922 | 4.8¢ | $243 | New0 settled bets |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | No | 247 | 94.6¢ | $241 | — |
| itamarBenGvir0x3403…9906 | Yes | 9,821 | 2.8¢ | $241 | New3 settled bets |
| kurmamatka0xd8fb…ee24 | No | 246 | 94.5¢ | $239 | — |
| Assafr0x538d…453a | Yes | 9,425 | 5.3¢ | $231 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0bb9…9725 | Yes | 9,316 | 5.7¢ | $228 | Proven+$23.85 per $100 · 171 bets |
| Nn30130xe755…281e | Yes | 9,275 | 3.4¢ | $227 | — |
| 0x3e5f…eb7c | Yes | 8,885 | 3.5¢ | $218 | New9 settled bets |
| spongebobs0x821f…f9c3 | No | 219 | 91.4¢ | $213 | New58 settled bets |
| Jubalito0xa7cd…8f13 | Yes | 8,692 | 5.5¢ | $213 | — |
| 0xfb89…a59d | Yes | 8,459 | 2.8¢ | $207 | — |
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | No | 212 | 94.5¢ | $206 | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |
| AJK20x014e…3794 | No | 209 | 95.8¢ | $204 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 263 bets |
| adik380x8550…dc4f | No | 209 | 95.9¢ | $203 | — |
| KingYona230xf45b…378b | Yes | 8,248 | 1.8¢ | $202 | — |
| kp123450xf0f7…8c0b | Yes | 7,895 | 6.3¢ | $193 | New16 settled bets |
| shelijelly0x0230…20de | Yes | 7,732 | 3.2¢ | $189 | New2 settled bets |
| lennyfein0x8dcd…a1b4 | Yes | 7,605 | 7.9¢ | $186 | — |
| Omeriko400x0335…e57d | Yes | 7,192 | 5.6¢ | $176 | New0 settled bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 6,440 | 2.6¢ | $158 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| rugmaster20000x1b2c…f03f | Yes | 6,370 | 6.3¢ | $156 | New33 settled bets |
| Arieldavid0x2c0e…a89a | Yes | 6,094 | 8.2¢ | $149 | New0 settled bets |
| lirio1230x3b3d…b162 | Yes | 5,824 | 2.2¢ | $143 | New22 settled bets |
| Eyallif0x83a7…7f8d | Yes | 5,343 | 3.6¢ | $131 | New0 settled bets |
| ChainReaction-3920x1f5a…1d35 | Yes | 5,285 | 3.6¢ | $129 | Proven+$13.99 per $100 · 176 bets |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | Yes | 5,242 | 3.7¢ | $128 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| borat0xcee3…cef8 | Yes | 5,011 | 2.9¢ | $123 | — |
| David-linden0x25ad…dc17 | Yes | 4,769 | 6.3¢ | $117 | New83 settled bets |
| benab20x5957…f25b | Yes | 4,740 | 3.2¢ | $116 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x6356…f548 | Yes | 4,479 | 5.0¢ | $110 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x9353…bc9d | Yes | 4,463 | 4.5¢ | $109 | — |
| 0xa782…fd1e | Yes | 4,081 | 3.3¢ | $100 | — |
| 121234234353453450x3ed0…ec5a | Yes | 3,649 | 1.4¢ | $89 | New40 settled bets |
| asitiet0x8cc5…f5e1 | Yes | 3,600 | 1.7¢ | $88 | — |
| checkraise0x0a3e…fde0 | Yes | 3,580 | 3.2¢ | $88 | New50 settled bets |
| Myway0x52f9…e1c7 | Yes | 3,570 | 2.0¢ | $87 | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 313 bets |
| 0x6fb4…1f3c | Yes | 3,534 | 2.7¢ | $87 | New0 settled bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,303 | 1.9¢ | $81 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| DavidRos0x2fac…31ed | Yes | 3,291 | 5.0¢ | $81 | New0 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.