Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juseppe----0x341b…8a5c | Yes | 370 | 55.1¢ | $237 | — |
| Iseedeadpoeple0xadd9…eab9 | Yes | 226 | 48.9¢ | $144 | — |
| 0x6a70…6925 | Yes | 152 | 62.4¢ | $97 | — |
| KSimba0xa3f6…32c8 | Yes | 102 | 50.0¢ | $65 | — |
| 0xcc57…a4dd | Yes | 100 | 64.6¢ | $64 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 150 | 57.9¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 94.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $238K in play
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.