Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x36b4…c26e | Yes | 480 | 37.8¢ | $115 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 80 | 64.0¢ | $61 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 48 | 52.9¢ | $36 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 54.5¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | No | 25 | 64.0¢ | $19 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 79 | 32.4¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 93.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $238K in play
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.