Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juseppe----0x341b…8a5c | Yes | 370 | 55.1¢ | $218 | — |
| Iseedeadpoeple0xadd9…eab9 | Yes | 226 | 48.9¢ | $133 | — |
| 0x6a70…6925 | Yes | 152 | 62.4¢ | $90 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No | 150 | 57.9¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,841 bets |
| KSimba0xa3f6…32c8 | Yes | 102 | 50.0¢ | $60 | — |
| 0xcc57…a4dd | Yes | 100 | 64.6¢ | $59 | — |
| TheOne7770x2b62…438c | No | 126 | 37.0¢ | $52 | Proven+$19.42 per $100 · 1,428 bets |
| DeFox11250x475c…97f5 | Yes | 81 | 62.9¢ | $48 | — |
| danikonsens0x51a2…051b | Yes | 77 | 78.3¢ | $46 | — |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | Yes | 71 | 55.0¢ | $42 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 92 | 27.1¢ | $38 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| bbb560x6000…cad5 | No | 86 | 59.3¢ | $35 | — |
| Ed940xc08d…6591 | No | 85 | 51.5¢ | $35 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 61 | 44.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 50.0¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | Yes | 36 | 28.0¢ | $21 | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| 0xa468…1bd7 | No | 40 | 53.4¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x7623…6cb6 | Yes | 20 | 41.0¢ | $12 | Proven+$7.98 per $100 · 182 bets |
| 0x7e27…9900 | Yes | 17 | 61.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 47.0¢ | $8 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 16 | 46.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| Mar1tn0x57f6…509b | Yes | 10 | 56.7¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | Yes | 10 | 60.0¢ | $6 | New34 settled bets |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 10 | 46.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 9 | 56.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 7 | 56.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 4-testfollower-hm70xe694…7e7c | No | 10 | 49.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 8 | 53.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| dsfd30x407d…52fd | Yes | 5 | 56.0¢ | $3 | — |
| JackobB0x80ae…d377 | Yes | 5 | 61.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB0x9a46…1d99 | Yes | 5 | 51.0¢ | $3 | — |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | Yes | 5 | 59.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | No | 5 | 45.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| Dolev-6460xcfca…03de | Yes | 3 | 38.9¢ | $2 | — |
| alonl880xa882…6a9f | Yes | 3 | 41.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4ceb…2f1d | Yes | 2 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Odelia0xa26e…b55e | Yes | 2 | 62.9¢ | $1 | — |
| uplowpotatoe10x81d6…f8ef | Yes | 1 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd188…6f68 | Yes | 1 | 78.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 25.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,770 bets |
| 0x1e75…63f1 | No | 1 | 39.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.06 per $100 · 2,545 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1 | 24.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 46.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 9 events · $243K in play
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.