Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Next US–Iran Senior Diplomatic Meeting · 1 event · $95.1K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 12,731 | 52.0¢ | $7.07K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| 0xc91b…93bd | Yes | 8,066 | 51.5¢ | $3.59K | — |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | Yes | 7,259 | 56.8¢ | $3.23K | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 5,294 | 26.6¢ | $2.94K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | Yes | 4,929 | 43.5¢ | $2.19K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 3,422 | 36.8¢ | $1.9K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| 0805260x9ad7…4084 | No | 3,164 | 54.6¢ | $1.76K | — |
| RdogTest0x9908…062c | No | 3,151 | 54.2¢ | $1.75K | — |
| 0x5c6e…0617 | No | 2,672 | 29.6¢ | $1.48K | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 328 bets |
| ugfvdgh0x66aa…3ff5 | No | 2,500 | 38.0¢ | $1.39K | — |
| kljhbnjh0x79eb…44b2 | No | 2,450 | 34.0¢ | $1.36K | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 2,387 | 55.5¢ | $1.32K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 5,701 bets |
| ferraracesare0x5aa0…c2d1 | Yes | 2,241 | 70.0¢ | $997 | New32 settled bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 2,174 | 50.1¢ | $968 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,428 bets |
| sqaolkytrpoi0xd6dd…98ee | Yes | 2,138 | 45.0¢ | $952 | Proven+$5.99 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| nmnr0xcb86…feda | No | 1,474 | 54.8¢ | $818 | — |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 1,461 | 56.0¢ | $811 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 491 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,717 | 66.5¢ | $764 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 1,337 | 38.0¢ | $742 | — |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 1,591 | 47.4¢ | $708 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | No | 1,197 | 27.2¢ | $664 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,457 bets |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | Yes | 1,485 | 67.3¢ | $661 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 501 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 980 | 42.5¢ | $544 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| omsode0x82bd…335e | Yes | 1,009 | 43.9¢ | $449 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 146 bets |
| 0x8b95…19ba | Yes | 964 | 51.9¢ | $429 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 835 | 75.1¢ | $372 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 825 | 62.7¢ | $367 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | Yes | 800 | 50.0¢ | $356 | New56 settled bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 650 | 57.8¢ | $289 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| MossBerg210x49ac…2f1e | No | 476 | 42.0¢ | $264 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | Yes | 550 | 58.0¢ | $245 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | Yes | 532 | 66.0¢ | $237 | Proven+$14.56 per $100 · 253 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 500 | 66.2¢ | $222 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,110 bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | No | 393 | 54.0¢ | $218 | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 450 | 69.1¢ | $200 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 415 | 70.4¢ | $185 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| uyhgyu0x0e02…5db0 | Yes | 400 | 62.0¢ | $178 | — |
| seehi0x4451…fcbe | Yes | 400 | 54.0¢ | $178 | Losing−$7.92 per $100 · 360 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 392 | 54.1¢ | $174 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 326 bets |
| dsfrhdthdtd0x36ad…519f | Yes | 390 | 66.0¢ | $174 | — |
| dtrfhthr0x238c…72bf | Yes | 380 | 66.0¢ | $169 | — |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | Yes | 378 | 53.0¢ | $168 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 300 | 58.0¢ | $167 | Proven+$7.57 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| srgtydx0x4393…39e7 | Yes | 370 | 62.0¢ | $165 | — |
| rfdbhdth0x9946…c6c2 | Yes | 370 | 66.0¢ | $165 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 296 | 55.8¢ | $164 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| swergrhtrf0x4c56…eccd | Yes | 360 | 62.0¢ | $160 | — |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 350 | 48.5¢ | $156 | Proven+$9.58 per $100 · 496 bets |
| dthfthtfh0x2a75…2b01 | Yes | 350 | 62.0¢ | $156 | New7 settled bets |
| asedgfers0x3213…3fe2 | Yes | 350 | 62.0¢ | $156 | New12 settled bets |
| tygjnmgyj0x9cb0…0cf5 | Yes | 350 | 66.0¢ | $156 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 340 | 80.8¢ | $151 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| rhgdrtfhbdt0xe791…93d2 | Yes | 340 | 62.0¢ | $151 | — |
| tedhth0x321b…b02c | Yes | 330 | 62.0¢ | $147 | — |
| dthdthd0xe586…6632 | Yes | 330 | 66.0¢ | $147 | New5 settled bets |
| dfgtnjfgj0x04c5…7126 | Yes | 320 | 66.0¢ | $142 | — |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 255 | 53.0¢ | $142 | — |
| fdgsdav0x31a4…2c3b | Yes | 310 | 66.0¢ | $138 | New6 settled bets |
| RATHMA40xf9ac…806e | Yes | 300 | 76.0¢ | $134 | — |
| soll20x9bdc…f830 | Yes | 300 | 49.3¢ | $133 | Losing−$4.27 per $100 · 136 bets |
| Corfitz0xecbb…8070 | Yes | 300 | 66.7¢ | $133 | — |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 300 | 43.9¢ | $133 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,913 bets |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No | 234 | 36.8¢ | $130 | — |
| AlexZA30x5c5b…1a6d | No | 230 | 35.2¢ | $128 | Positive+$4.62 per $100 · 181 bets |
| SakuraDevil0x0c3c…5eea | Yes | 266 | 45.0¢ | $118 | — |
| 0x1eff…9e03 | No | 209 | 38.2¢ | $116 | — |
| cookie960xfb41…1fff | Yes | 250 | 72.0¢ | $111 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 200 | 55.0¢ | $111 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | No | 200 | 18.5¢ | $111 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 4,658 bets |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 198 | 53.3¢ | $110 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 180 | 54.0¢ | $100 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| ninasimon0x655e…e0cc | No | 166 | 55.0¢ | $92 | Losing−$5.10 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 200 | 46.0¢ | $89 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 200 | 68.7¢ | $89 | — |
| LLLLLukee0x3576…e553 | Yes | 200 | 48.5¢ | $89 | — |
| 0xd324…b23c | No | 159 | 33.6¢ | $88 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 148 | 45.8¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,999 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 119 | 36.7¢ | $66 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | Yes | 135 | 59.0¢ | $60 | Losing−$6.72 per $100 · 933 bets |
| GamerBolo0x4930…82ab | No | 100 | 57.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$10.03 per $100 · 409 bets |
| hovyhov1110x81e8…e986 | No | 100 | 21.0¢ | $56 | New31 settled bets |
| WaterFloww0x5040…96cf | No | 100 | 57.0¢ | $55 | — |
| StupidMonkeyyy0x67d6…245e | No | 84 | 14.0¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 1,107 bets |
| wagdab0x4c5c…685d | No | 83 | 57.3¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | 92 | 51.4¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 821 bets |
| whaleP10x5b1d…8895 | No | 65 | 35.4¢ | $36 | Losing−$5.71 per $100 · 587 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 62 | 37.2¢ | $35 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 50 | 57.0¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| elfuturollegohacerato0x76f3…44e2 | No | 50 | 29.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 58.0¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| 0xafa7…6e67 | No | 46 | 37.6¢ | $26 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 42 | 15.0¢ | $23 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| StevAplaty0xc935…74cf | No | 40 | 57.3¢ | $22 | — |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | No | 39 | 54.0¢ | $22 | — |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | No | 39 | 54.0¢ | $22 | — |
| pump.princess0x3fa1…89df | No | 39 | 54.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xca08…c267 | No | 34 | 54.6¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xd11c…0d06 | No | 29 | 38.9¢ | $16 | — |
| 98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF0xda91…9ffd | No | 26 | 29.3¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.