Market · 2 of 6 outcomes
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 94.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 94.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 94.4¢ | +0.9 pts |
| $500,000 | 95.4¢ | +1.9 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 93¢.
About $466K can be bought and $215K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 93.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 00:39 UTC.
392 traders bet this week. 4 bets were $10K or more, and $46.3K of that went on Yes, mostly on Oct 10.