Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 14.9¢ | +1.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 40.6¢ | +27.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 77.8¢ | +64.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 79.8¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 13¢.
About $1K can be bought and $6K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 13.2¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 15:37 UTC.