Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 14.9¢ | +1.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 38.5¢ | +25.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 78.9¢ | +65.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 80.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 13¢.
About $1.33K can be bought and $5.58K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 13.1¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:32 UTC.