Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 16.5¢ | +3.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 44.4¢ | +31.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 80.8¢ | +67.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 81.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 13¢.
About $588 can be bought and $5.11K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 13.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 18:18 UTC.