Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 37.1¢ | +2.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 71.5¢ | +37.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 88.5¢ | +54.0 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 34¢.
About $840 can be bought and $10.3K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 34.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 17:10 UTC.