Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 37.7¢ | +2.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 74.1¢ | +38.6 pts |
| $100,000 | 90.0¢ | +54.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 93.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 35¢.
About $749 can be bought and $4.5K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 35.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 14:39 UTC.