Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 37,653 | 76.6¢ | $36K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| 0x2858…5964 | No | 6,343 | 86.1¢ | $6.06K | — |
| How.Dare.You0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | 5,555 | 90.0¢ | $5.31K | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 2,257 | 46.6¢ | $2.16K | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No | 1,098 | 87.8¢ | $1.05K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 887 | 84.8¢ | $847 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Vetalmon0x01e4…2d6a | No | 756 | 93.0¢ | $722 | — |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 15,335 | 18.0¢ | $690 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| 0xd054…7e38 | No | 700 | 80.3¢ | $668 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 653 | 89.3¢ | $623 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 595 | 89.0¢ | $568 | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| Redlu0x81e0…aff6 | No | 556 | 82.0¢ | $531 | New29 settled bets |
| AlexZA30x5c5b…1a6d | No | 523 | 83.0¢ | $499 | Positive+$4.62 per $100 · 181 bets |
| 0xd11c…0d06 | No | 506 | 87.0¢ | $484 | — |
| sdhyky0x264c…baca | No | 500 | 84.4¢ | $478 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 1,477 bets |
| 007-Bond0x8947…f4b4 | No | 500 | 89.3¢ | $478 | New96 settled bets |
| Arnayt0xc251…a5d3 | No | 412 | 88.6¢ | $393 | — |
| Greysok0xe443…c065 | No | 400 | 40.0¢ | $382 | — |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 400 | 91.0¢ | $382 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| Jerzy0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | 8,135 | 19.3¢ | $366 | Proven+$5.52 per $100 · 363 bets |
| 0x3c12…7514 | No | 366 | 81.9¢ | $350 | New9 settled bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 300 | 95.0¢ | $287 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 6,051 | 19.9¢ | $272 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| palekingK0xbf3b…bbf6 | No | 221 | 73.8¢ | $211 | — |
| 0xafa7…6e67 | No | 216 | 90.0¢ | $206 | — |
| SACKD0x71f3…28d1 | No | 208 | 71.8¢ | $199 | — |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 200 | 79.5¢ | $191 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,052 bets |
| Sinonn0xaf98…d365 | No | 198 | 81.1¢ | $189 | — |
| 0x83fd…1097 | No | 171 | 59.2¢ | $163 | — |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | No | 146 | 83.9¢ | $140 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| Witezslav0x680d…a342 | No | 145 | 82.5¢ | $139 | — |
| TheManInTheSky0x4bc2…597a | Yes | 3,060 | 4.0¢ | $138 | Break-even−$0.58 per $100 · 566 bets |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 139 | 93.3¢ | $132 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| slapikayte0xd95e…ffa8 | No | 125 | 80.3¢ | $119 | — |
| bnetopt0xf18f…294c | Yes | 2,500 | 12.3¢ | $113 | Losing−$21.26 per $100 · 431 bets |
| bobrenokli0x8a08…0eec | Yes | 2,228 | 4.7¢ | $100 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 101 | 92.0¢ | $96 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Allcap0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | 2,126 | 18.1¢ | $96 | — |
| 0x729a…c966 | No | 100 | 82.0¢ | $96 | Losing−$3.03 per $100 · 513 bets |
| MiyagoloMusashi0x823d…2db3 | No | 100 | 88.0¢ | $96 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 1,038 bets |
| SITIFUKUDZIN0xc406…ba02 | Yes | 1,973 | 10.9¢ | $89 | — |
| Wirenhundo0x2368…a43b | Yes | 1,884 | 33.0¢ | $85 | — |
| Jo73730x717a…977c | Yes | 1,595 | 28.4¢ | $72 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | No | 75 | 80.5¢ | $71 | — |
| ezel-de0x1e0d…bd03 | Yes | 1,521 | 15.0¢ | $68 | — |
| captainahab0x0d19…8f93 | Yes | 1,516 | 28.2¢ | $68 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | No | 71 | 57.0¢ | $67 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| systemix0x178f…45b8 | No | 70 | 63.0¢ | $67 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 1,434 | 37.5¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| 0xc572…66fd | No | 68 | 74.0¢ | $65 | — |
| vamnizar0xaf46…8c1d | Yes | 1,278 | 11.5¢ | $57 | — |
| MistahFox0xbb01…02e5 | Yes | 1,169 | 60.0¢ | $53 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 2,241 bets |
| 0x6e4b…c45d | No | 40 | 50.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x855f…d534 | No | 40 | 50.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x9a49…0265 | No | 40 | 50.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xd655…58a8 | No | 40 | 50.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 39 | 79.0¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 38 | 85.3¢ | $36 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| 0x8973…c615 | No | 37 | 58.5¢ | $35 | — |
| glchst0xa370…6b5b | No | 35 | 60.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xe0cc…c6cb | No | 35 | 50.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x0371…3683 | Yes | 729 | 23.7¢ | $33 | New24 settled bets |
| avel-mink0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | 701 | 5.0¢ | $32 | New55 settled bets |
| orifcontex0xa002…e840 | Yes | 700 | 6.8¢ | $31 | — |
| kstc17a0x328b…fa07 | No | 32 | 90.0¢ | $31 | — |
| dolph140x5d6f…b0a7 | Yes | 623 | 58.6¢ | $28 | — |
| uservasya0x1262…84b7 | Yes | 595 | 33.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xe99a…549b | No | 26 | 58.3¢ | $25 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 549 | 50.3¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| ihor-ihor0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | 525 | 4.0¢ | $24 | — |
| alpaca0x5da5…e620 | Yes | 469 | 10.7¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.68 per $100 · 287 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 464 | 3.1¢ | $21 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| yuuuge0xa44c…eb34 | Yes | 414 | 22.0¢ | $19 | — |
| MMSBest0xd831…351b | Yes | 326 | 30.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 323 | 53.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| legspread0x0845…c4ed | Yes | 312 | 8.0¢ | $14 | — |
| kotsios0x6e83…0ef8 | Yes | 305 | 18.1¢ | $14 | — |
| Mitakaasa70x6312…f94e | Yes | 300 | 18.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| beansontoasts0xc7b6…3158 | Yes | 270 | 50.2¢ | $12 | — |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | 265 | 15.9¢ | $12 | — |
| gambluving0x76ea…08a5 | Yes | 214 | 21.0¢ | $10 | — |
| somodest0x6e18…1044 | Yes | 208 | 17.9¢ | $9 | — |
| StoneCold0xceee…7bb2 | Yes | 183 | 32.8¢ | $8 | — |
| lulala110x1b72…3b3d | Yes | 182 | 11.0¢ | $8 | — |
| bugseeker0x3e26…3edf | Yes | 158 | 19.0¢ | $7 | — |
| dodstered0x0fdf…7cdb | Yes | 156 | 32.0¢ | $7 | — |
| SmakAfriki0x11de…21d7 | Yes | 150 | 17.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 198 bets |
| iachmenov0xef59…41f6 | Yes | 150 | 17.0¢ | $7 | — |
| PipiR0x51f6…c0ee | Yes | 147 | 34.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Piz310x5c08…6cdc | Yes | 141 | 19.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | 122 | 8.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Kitaille0x151d…4926 | Yes | 118 | 34.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa9a8…d779 | Yes | 107 | 4.0¢ | $5 | — |
| zhukov260x3a5a…3427 | Yes | 100 | 8.7¢ | $5 | — |
| szz0x87e3…d0de | Yes | 100 | 5.0¢ | $5 | — |
| felipenigri0xa24b…c76c | Yes | 84 | 21.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Predictive-Market0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | 74 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| -StubBorn-0xb131…01b7 | Yes | 71 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 40 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.