Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 37,653 | 76.6¢ | $36K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| 0x2858…5964 | No | 6,343 | 86.1¢ | $6.06K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 5,555 |
| 90.0¢ |
| $5.31K |
| Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 2,257 | 46.6¢ | $2.16K | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 3,946 bets |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No | 1,098 | 87.8¢ | $1.05K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 887 | 84.8¢ | $847 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 40 shares each side · Show
|