Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian1010x5408…0466 | No | 7,914 | 95.9¢ | $7.64K | — |
| bazooka10x031d…6570 | No | 6,050 | 90.5¢ | $5.84K | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 234 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ANGGGuess0xab01…2558 |
| No |
| 3,200 |
| 93.6¢ |
| $3.09K |
| New10 settled bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 3,000 | 94.0¢ | $2.9K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,267 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,198 | 93.1¢ | $2.12K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
| C-Ride0x4ed7…767e | No | 1,586 | 95.4¢ | $1.53K | New77 settled bets |