Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abc09010x3cbd…9742 | No | 128 | 76.2¢ | $105 | New38 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 80 | 13.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 14 | 80.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| Gulgaio0x973e…37dc | Yes | 43 | 23.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 21.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 2 | 77.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.