Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman20x9453…1a48 | No | 2,553 | 88.6¢ | $2.34K | — |
| 0xb1f9…8e63 | No | 1,875 | 88.0¢ | $1.72K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,443 |
| 86.4¢ |
| $1.32K |
| — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 1,307 | 76.4¢ | $1.2K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 1,130 | 86.9¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| DiaMat0x5ff7…f7f0 | No | 1,000 | 76.6¢ | $915 | New96 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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