Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman20x9453…1a48 | No | 2,553 | 88.6¢ | $2.34K | — |
| 0xb1f9…8e63 | No | 1,875 | 88.0¢ | $1.72K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 1,443 |
| 86.4¢ |
| $1.32K |
| — |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 1,350 | 87.4¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$6.89 per $100 · 1,588 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 1,307 | 76.4¢ | $1.2K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| DiaMat0x5ff7…f7f0 | No | 1,000 | 76.6¢ | $915 | New96 settled bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 609 | 85.9¢ | $557 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,719 bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 544 | 92.0¢ | $497 | — |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 500 | 88.0¢ | $458 | — |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 500 | 71.7¢ | $458 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| Umaroth0xefde…783d | No | 450 | 62.0¢ | $412 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 4,270 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,424 | 11.8¢ | $376 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 968 bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | No | 308 | 76.1¢ | $282 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 821 bets |
| silentblue0x171e…e046 | No | 301 | 71.3¢ | $276 | — |
| shyqa0000x0b57…5975 | No | 300 | 83.0¢ | $274 | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 148 bets |
| Welostbetting0xc753…5820 | No | 296 | 62.0¢ | $271 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 250 | 80.0¢ | $229 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| TrashGirl0x5669…0f13 | No | 242 | 70.8¢ | $222 | — |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | Yes | 2,269 | 27.5¢ | $193 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 200 | 86.0¢ | $183 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 5,701 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 198 | 90.8¢ | $181 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 196 | 94.0¢ | $179 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 188 | 66.3¢ | $172 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 745 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 170 | 63.7¢ | $156 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,075 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 155 | 66.5¢ | $142 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 579 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 1,476 | 13.6¢ | $125 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 130 | 70.0¢ | $119 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,326 bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $92 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 301 bets |
| name5050xbad6…9963 | No | 100 | 89.0¢ | $92 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 1,072 | 30.5¢ | $91 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 1,048 | 16.5¢ | $89 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | Yes | 799 | 22.8¢ | $68 | — |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | No | 69 | 66.5¢ | $63 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| vravroum0xe434…efb0 | No | 61 | 82.7¢ | $56 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 58 | 86.5¢ | $53 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 626 | 36.5¢ | $53 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,428 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 488 | 11.7¢ | $41 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,825+ bets · updating |
| gotonetry330x66e0…e8f0 | No | 44 | 75.3¢ | $40 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 741 bets |
| ninjagamerpinny0x308f…8607 | No | 42 | 89.6¢ | $38 | — |
| 3ddddd0x9b0a…43bc | Yes | 450 | 9.9¢ | $38 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 41 | 66.4¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 40 | 74.3¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 421 | 9.7¢ | $36 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 2,209 bets |
| shaurtuktuk0x3296…cf78 | No | 35 | 69.0¢ | $32 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 363 | 25.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | No | 32 | 95.0¢ | $30 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| NightOwlX0x9523…56e0 | No | 30 | 66.0¢ | $27 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 30 | 85.0¢ | $27 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 0xe950…f7ed | No | 29 | 92.8¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | 309 | 17.7¢ | $26 | — |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | Yes | 300 | 26.5¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | No | 26 | 95.0¢ | $24 | — |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 21 | 95.0¢ | $19 | — |
| gkanor0xd2de…099b | No | 21 | 78.5¢ | $19 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 220 | 13.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| wisechinaman0xdec2…b015 | Yes | 215 | 43.9¢ | $18 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,312 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 212 | 11.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x7272…a67d | Yes | 200 | 37.0¢ | $17 | New74 settled bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 18 | 58.0¢ | $17 | — |
| mcphearson990xedc4…be57 | No | 16 | 63.4¢ | $15 | — |
| polikstoproc0xb016…95fd | No | 16 | 86.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x1c37…a324 | No | 16 | 67.0¢ | $14 | — |
| chrispaul08250xdc6e…4402 | Yes | 143 | 14.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 137 | 8.4¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| User960140x2b16…cbe4 | No | 11 | 89.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x19e5…d7cd | No | 10 | 75.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 229 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 104 | 16.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| Jet90x8705…8354 | Yes | 100 | 36.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$8.39 per $100 · 490 bets |
| MixoTr030x116a…a2f2 | Yes | 91 | 11.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 87 | 8.0¢ | $7 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 72 | 13.0¢ | $6 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 65 | 14.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 14,000 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 4 | 62.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 31 | 9.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | Yes | 28 | 36.0¢ | $2 | — |
| KenneyG0xc901…0c1d | Yes | 27 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | Yes | 25 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | 21 | 9.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.56 per $100 · 10,587 bets |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,596 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 20 | 14.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 19 | 37.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 15 | 13.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 15 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 14,475 bets |
| overmind-cash-machine0xcbde…f407 | Yes | 15 | 30.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe21c…447a | Yes | 13 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 12 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Phonthe23780x06e5…a0dc | Yes | 12 | 24.8¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 11 | 14.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.01 per $100 · 106,178+ bets · updating |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.65 per $100 · 3,143 bets |
| Seer-U0x635d…43f8 | Yes | 10 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 10 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 10 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | Yes | 9 | 10.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 1,761 bets |
| romanew-cryp0xbd91…6262 | Yes | 8 | 42.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.04 per $100 · 3,574 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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