No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? · Polyray
Market
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
Chance of No change
▲ 3 pts this week
Money on this market
Room to trade
1¢ between buy and sell
Bet this week
Ends
Oct 27
in 15 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?”.
§1This market will resolve to "No change" if the "No change" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Hike 25 bps" option's hourly odds value in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 27, 2026.
§2This market will resolve to "Hike 25 bps" if the "Hike 25 bps" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "No change" option's hourly odds value in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 27, 2026.
§3If the "No change" option's and the "Hike 25 bps" option's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50.
§4An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
§5Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
§6If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
§7
§8If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
§9If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the "No change" option or the "Hike 25 bps" option in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.
§10If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50.
§11If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes".
§12If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50.
§13If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction.
§14A corrected value will be used in place of the original.
§15If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.
§16The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the "No change" option and the "Hike 25 bps" option in the "Fed Rate Decision October 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/fed-october-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing.
§17Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.