Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on No change, 3 on Hike 25 bps. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No change | 1,480 | 65.0¢ | $1.29K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| beata-monalisa0x5fc7…a9dd | No change | 1,000 | 66.9¢ | $875 | — |
Shares = No change minus Hike 25 bps for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No change |
| 574 |
| 30.2¢ |
| $502 |
| Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No change | 102 | 75.9¢ | $89 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| Mandalorec0x039b…9b6c | Hike 25 bps | 680 | 32.1¢ | $85 | — |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Hike 25 bps | 621 | 71.9¢ | $78 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |