Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 8.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 9.9¢ | +2.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 40.4¢ | +32.9 pts |
| $500,000 | 51.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 7¢.
About $7.07K can be bought and $6.22K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 7.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 17:03 UTC.
33 traders bet this week.