Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | No | 19,479 | 93.3¢ | $18K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 12,666 | 93.9¢ | $11.7K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 9,609 | 92.0¢ | $8.89K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 8,679 | 93.3¢ | $8.03K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| Huludubu0xe738…df65 | No | 5,625 | 88.7¢ | $5.2K | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 2,531 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 3,500 | 92.7¢ | $3.24K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |