Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | No | 6,709 | 81.2¢ | $5.1K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 472 bets |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | No | 4,574 | 79.3¢ | $3.48K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Topgold10x9e96…7b13 | Yes | 13,730 | 19.3¢ | $3.3K | — |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 4,000 | 71.5¢ | $3.04K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 495 bets |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | No | 2,000 | 80.3¢ | $1.52K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,541 | 79.5¢ | $1.17K | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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