Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan20300x88c4…129a | No | 6,709 | 81.2¢ | $5.07K | Proven+$11.66 per $100 · 473 bets |
| 657657570x2974…9c23 | No | 4,574 | 79.3¢ | $3.45K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Topgold10x9e96…7b13 | Yes | 13,730 | 19.3¢ | $3.36K | — |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 4,000 | 71.5¢ | $3.02K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 495 bets |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | No | 2,000 | 80.3¢ | $1.51K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,541 | 79.5¢ | $1.16K | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,157 | 78.7¢ | $874 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,150 bets |
| 0x0d3a…1a65 | No | 1,000 | 77.0¢ | $755 | — |
| 0x9ddd…5ca4 | Yes | 2,000 | 18.1¢ | $490 | — |
| cdecercwd0x5d2d…d535 | No | 600 | 78.7¢ | $453 | Positive+$2.13 per $100 · 108 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 500 | 80.4¢ | $378 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,710 bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 500 | 82.0¢ | $378 | — |
| Umaroth0xefde…783d | No | 484 | 79.7¢ | $365 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 4,270 bets |
| AXIOSinsider0x3d0b…f522 | Yes | 1,418 | 17.6¢ | $347 | New58 settled bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 1,058 | 20.2¢ | $259 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 14,414 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 329 | 78.0¢ | $248 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 4,720 bets |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | Yes | 1,000 | 18.0¢ | $245 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| 0x8b5a…b95d | Yes | 954 | 22.0¢ | $234 | Losing−$24.53 per $100 · 517 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 744 | 21.0¢ | $182 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | No | 229 | 77.0¢ | $173 | Proven+$4.99 per $100 · 257 bets |
| mulah0x744a…923b | Yes | 589 | 19.0¢ | $144 | New57 settled bets |
| Crayon0xc95c…5e0b | No | 170 | 79.2¢ | $128 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 508 | 21.0¢ | $124 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 446 | 18.0¢ | $109 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 694 bets |
| Konfucious0xac76…9359 | No | 140 | 77.9¢ | $106 | — |
| Glicha0x91ff…8f40 | No | 120 | 80.8¢ | $91 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 105 | 78.9¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 300 | 21.0¢ | $74 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 280 | 24.1¢ | $69 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 90 | 76.0¢ | $68 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 261 | 24.1¢ | $64 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| Davibes0xb254…aa58 | No | 70 | 75.0¢ | $53 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 68 | 78.9¢ | $51 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,078 bets |
| 0xb87c…d372 | Yes | 208 | 24.0¢ | $51 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 195 | 17.1¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 579 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 184 | 19.0¢ | $45 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 54 | 80.3¢ | $41 | — |
| radeksaturka0xa98c…5173 | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | $38 | — |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | Yes | 150 | 19.0¢ | $37 | — |
| KakiBatusik0x371c…c236 | Yes | 105 | 19.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 937 bets |
| PMplayer0x174b…5a55 | Yes | 100 | 21.0¢ | $25 | Losing−$17.89 per $100 · 173 bets |
| nasos.pap0x81b4…a888 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 80 | 22.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 20 | 69.5¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| rambo9740x2c03…f1e3 | No | 20 | 73.0¢ | $15 | — |
| scar.one0x69fa…04d0 | No | 20 | 80.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xblink0xf6d3…7e6c | No | 15 | 79.3¢ | $11 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 41 | 20.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 0x1ab1…bb62 | No | 12 | 83.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$21.80 per $100 · 931 bets |
| 0xe61d…d77e | Yes | 31 | 16.1¢ | $8 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 10 | 79.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Serg0010x26ad…8c4e | Yes | 30 | 19.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.55 per $100 · 288 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 9 | 76.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 8 | 82.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,044 bets |
| 0x987e…c3bd | No | 7 | 75.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa53c…44aa | No | 7 | 83.1¢ | $5 | — |
| kaese0xba0d…1fd0 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $5 | — |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | No | 6 | 82.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 18 | 23.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| GoodTillDate0x90a9…1bf1 | No | 5 | 80.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc5da…5f86 | No | 5 | 68.0¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 23.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 6,492 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.28 per $100 · 3,608 bets |
| 8dddj0x78cb…c94e | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 4,000 bets |
| 0xce14…41b0 | Yes | 10 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 9 | 23.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 9 | 19.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x15c6…3e34 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4ceb…2f1d | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x52fb…bc81 | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xaf27…806b | Yes | 5 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 4 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x822c…a06a | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 593 bets |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $1 | — |
| newbiejjh0x17bd…6550 | No | 1 | 83.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | Yes | 2 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | Yes | 1 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 6,740 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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