Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | No | 19,679 | 93.3¢ | $18.2K | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 919 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 12,666 | 93.9¢ | $11.7K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 9,609 | 92.0¢ | $8.89K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 8,679 | 93.3¢ | $8.03K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,098 bets |
| Huludubu0xe738…df65 | No | 5,625 | 88.7¢ | $5.2K | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 2,531 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 3,500 | 92.7¢ | $3.24K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| nope30500x6114…cff0 | No | 3,000 | 88.6¢ | $2.77K | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 100 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 2,738 | 90.6¢ | $2.53K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 2,500 | 95.0¢ | $2.31K | New56 settled bets |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 1,927 | 89.0¢ | $1.78K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |
| 52centis0xcb4c…6d64 | Yes | 22,026 | 10.0¢ | $1.65K | Losing−$12.98 per $100 · 182 bets |
| JustAProfessor0x57cc…882c | Yes | 15,151 | 10.0¢ | $1.14K | — |
| Everestpredictions0xceca…3f67 | No | 1,223 | 90.6¢ | $1.13K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 817 bets |
| 0x0dcc…d87c | No | 1,000 | 92.0¢ | $925 | Proven+$7.25 per $100 · 184 bets |
| Fullvie0x6286…f59c | No | 850 | 88.6¢ | $786 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 576 bets |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | No | 500 | 94.0¢ | $463 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 500 | 92.0¢ | $462 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 5,200 | 10.9¢ | $390 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 681 bets |
| SuAlteza0x1c86…c427 | No | 400 | 90.7¢ | $370 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 819 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 4,632 | 5.0¢ | $347 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| Glicha0x91ff…8f40 | No | 346 | 86.4¢ | $320 | — |
| Davibes0xb254…aa58 | No | 315 | 88.0¢ | $291 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 300 | 92.0¢ | $278 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| 0xfcab…3376 | Yes | 3,229 | 8.0¢ | $242 | New17 settled bets |
| ClearMove0xd7f1…73cd | Yes | 2,907 | 6.7¢ | $218 | Positive+$12.07 per $100 · 1,186 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,797 | 7.8¢ | $210 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | Yes | 2,523 | 5.9¢ | $189 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| CaptainCoinflip0xb8fe…ce76 | Yes | 2,500 | 6.6¢ | $188 | Proven+$3.92 per $100 · 744 bets |
| 0x9b87…3bdc | Yes | 2,419 | 8.3¢ | $181 | — |
| Notard0x91c9…d319 | No | 168 | 90.6¢ | $155 | — |
| 0x3927…b28e | Yes | 1,973 | 7.3¢ | $148 | — |
| 0xOTd0x79a8…bb66 | No | 154 | 90.1¢ | $142 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 541 bets |
| sqaolkytrpoi0xd6dd…98ee | Yes | 1,647 | 5.8¢ | $124 | Proven+$5.99 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 121 | 91.6¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | No | 111 | 90.0¢ | $103 | New43 settled bets |
| 0xcc3e…0e8d | Yes | 1,250 | 8.0¢ | $94 | — |
| 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $93 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 990 bets |
| Bilal950x5f57…61e5 | Yes | 1,120 | 8.0¢ | $84 | New56 settled bets |
| fundpol0x3513…b52f | No | 90 | 89.0¢ | $83 | — |
| Winna240x8c36…2a6a | Yes | 1,075 | 8.0¢ | $81 | — |
| mulah0x744a…923b | Yes | 1,049 | 7.0¢ | $79 | New57 settled bets |
| AXIOSinsider0x3d0b…f522 | Yes | 1,000 | 5.0¢ | $75 | New58 settled bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 814 | 7.2¢ | $61 | Proven+$11.15 per $100 · 504 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 62 | 92.0¢ | $57 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 60 | 92.5¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | No | 50 | 92.0¢ | $46 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 43 | 92.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| XVision0xd9a8…6e67 | Yes | 500 | 7.0¢ | $37 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 34 | 86.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| laureman0x1359…092e | No | 32 | 85.0¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.09 per $100 · 115 bets |
| DonnaMartinGraduate0x5b9a…896e | Yes | 375 | 8.0¢ | $28 | — |
| toothpick1010x6489…b541 | No | 22 | 89.0¢ | $21 | — |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 22 | 89.0¢ | $21 | New42 settled bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 21 | 93.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xff83…23be | Yes | 250 | 8.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 20 | 80.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| 0x0a4d…79f5 | Yes | 231 | 8.6¢ | $17 | — |
| Yishtabach-Shemo0x9986…27ae | Yes | 200 | 5.1¢ | $15 | — |
| 69latrik0xb66e…1b8f | Yes | 200 | 8.0¢ | $15 | — |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 15 | 92.0¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 15 | 93.3¢ | $14 | — |
| goldfinch-cz0xd7a4…8229 | Yes | 167 | 12.0¢ | $13 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 161 | 7.8¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| gkanor0xd2de…099b | No | 11 | 90.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x3762…3fb5 | No | 11 | 90.0¢ | $10 | — |
| bnetopt0xf18f…294c | Yes | 125 | 12.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$21.26 per $100 · 431 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x8c94…2e06 | Yes | 120 | 5.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x0dd9…f629 | No | 10 | 93.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x42b3…c57e | No | 9 | 87.0¢ | $8 | — |
| sleepyjoebiden0x71f3…bb5c | Yes | 100 | 12.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 98 | 3.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| BAO958890x300c…6a92 | Yes | 80 | 12.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$4.48 per $100 · 1,903 bets |
| OnlyInGodWeTrust0x0785…ecb4 | Yes | 70 | 8.6¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.29 per $100 · 705 bets |
| elliot.0xbca7…87f6 | No | 6 | 89.0¢ | $5 | — |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | No | 5 | 90.0¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 64 | 14.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 0x141e…05aa | Yes | 63 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Conpink0xc8cd…ed53 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xblink0xf6d3…7e6c | No | 5 | 89.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x49c4…db5b | Yes | 57 | 7.4¢ | $4 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 50 | 5.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| tuhkjqlwtjilqjkw0xd3e5…17ee | Yes | 50 | 8.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | No | 4 | 92.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| easyautomate0xd069…d078 | No | 3 | 91.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 40 | 7.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| The-one-268760x7b86…3a4b | Yes | 38 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | Yes | 31 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 15.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ronaldburgerking0x5f30…9e9e | Yes | 30 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | Yes | 28 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| isnotchicago0x6db9…0232 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2650…44f7 | Yes | 13 | 8.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 1,748 bets |
| Amosfa0x2b04…6477 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac4e…e799 | Yes | 13 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tumenskiy0xf692…ce9b | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ccyy20260x4282…3455 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.85 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | Yes | 10 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.