Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 12.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 13.5¢ | +2.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 52.4¢ | +40.9 pts |
| $500,000 | 59.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 11¢.
About $8.12K can be bought and $51.6K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 11.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 23:45 UTC.