Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 12.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 13.1¢ | +1.6 pts |
| $100,000 | 50.4¢ | +38.9 pts |
| $500,000 | 56.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 11¢.
About $9.49K can be bought and $51.3K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 11.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 01:30 UTC.
109 traders bet this week.