Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 12.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 15.6¢ | +4.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 59.2¢ | +47.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 71.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 11¢.
About $6.31K can be bought and $26.2K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 11.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 17:00 UTC.
115 traders bet this week.