Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 11.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 14.9¢ | +4.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 56.8¢ | +46.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 62.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 10¢.
About $6.04K can be bought and $59.9K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 10.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 23:34 UTC.
118 traders bet this week.