Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 50 | 83.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | 109 | 18.2¢ | $26 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 25 | 83.9¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $15 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | No | 16 | 86.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | 42 | 14.8¢ | $10 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 108.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.