Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 526 | 76.0¢ | $392 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 860 | 24.9¢ | $219 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 200 | 74.0¢ | $149 | — |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | 300 | 23.4¢ | $76 | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 70 | 80.1¢ | $52 | Proven+$21.46 per $100 · 12,441 bets |
| FuneralFog0x3636…34c4 | No | 70 | 70.0¢ | $52 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 65 | 77.3¢ | $49 | — |
| mashuuuu0x72da…a89e | No | 62 | 72.0¢ | $46 | — |
| kerbrerv0xfb65…2dfc | No | 57 | 75.1¢ | $42 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 51 | 74.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| ooms0x96ac…075c | Yes | 118 | 25.9¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x9730x8d60…a7a5 | No | 40 | 73.5¢ | $30 | — |
| physical-geographer0x957a…d6a6 | No | 34 | 73.0¢ | $25 | — |
| yellowhp0x716a…e885 | No | 30 | 76.9¢ | $22 | — |
| kukumaka0xfacc…4d07 | No | 27 | 75.5¢ | $20 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 26 | 76.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 23 | 79.1¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 66 | 27.3¢ | $17 | — |
| asd560xda65…e87e | Yes | 60 | 29.0¢ | $15 | — |
| fregdf12f0x9711…8ee7 | No | 20 | 77.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 72.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| LuckyRabit0xeeeb…1157 | Yes | 58 | 29.9¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | No | 18 | 73.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No | 17 | 72.9¢ | $13 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | No | 16 | 86.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | 42 | 14.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | Yes | 41 | 26.9¢ | $11 | — |
| malimd0xdfa6…66ff | No | 14 | 75.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xc017…c979 | No | 13 | 75.9¢ | $10 | — |
| m7dk20xf73b…10bf | Yes | 38 | 24.6¢ | $10 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 11 | 74.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Ronenamar50x84b2…7f85 | No | 11 | 75.0¢ | $8 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 31 | 28.2¢ | $8 | — |
| oleksiyz0xfd8e…aea4 | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $7 | — |
| huangfeng78900xdddd…10ea | Yes | 29 | 29.7¢ | $7 | — |
| crabrave0xf15b…8c10 | No | 9 | 71.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf014…be6f | No | 8 | 75.0¢ | $6 | — |
| trademaster40000x5936…c2d6 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 6 | 75.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| VantagePoint-YT0xc799…e4f6 | No | 6 | 86.0¢ | $4 | — |
| altmagic0xb125…089b | No | 5 | 74.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 12 | 26.5¢ | $3 | — |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | Yes | 11 | 28.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x06da…af33 | Yes | 9 | 27.1¢ | $2 | — |
| stephaneau0xc0cf…4f1b | Yes | 8 | 25.9¢ | $2 | — |
| MoneyForSky060x7d64…07f8 | Yes | 7 | 25.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xde13…c2ca | Yes | 5 | 25.9¢ | $1 | — |
| gettick0x8767…4368 | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 4 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 56,884 bets |
| jianghai010x3738…ed32 | Yes | 4 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | Yes | 0 | 29.9¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.