Market · 9 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| rrqqzq0x9bb2…21cb | No | 40 | 99.0¢ | $40 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| smi1e0x9acd…a3fe |
| No |
| 36 |
| 98.9¢ |
| $36 |
| — |
| 0xd934…60a0 | No | 29 | 99.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No | 17 | 99.9¢ | $17 | — |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | No | 15 | 98.7¢ | $15 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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