Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| rrqqzq0x9bb2…21cb | No | 40 | 99.0¢ | $40 | — |
| smi1e0x9acd…a3fe | No | 36 | 98.9¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xd934…60a0 | No | 29 | 99.0¢ | $29 | — |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | No | 15 | 98.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x16c7…22cd | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| EmethN1l23670xbdf9…7083 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 50 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ccloughley0x194d…85c0 | Yes | 49 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 40 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| 0xab53…b60a | Yes | 37 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| WGainfulInsight0xffd0…cd07 | Yes | 34 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 21 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ISddI0x655c…4420 | Yes | 21 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| v7H0x17e3…6320 | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11290xcff4…cab0 | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.