Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 96.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TunSahur0x95d3…6eff | No | 105 | 91.1¢ | $92 | — |
| 0xaba7…85ed | No | 45 | 89.8¢ | $40 | — |
| lulac1234560x0727…d1f4 | No | 41 | 88.9¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | No | 40 | 90.0¢ | $35 | — |
| Descubra0x93dd…4ed5 | No | 36 | 82.0¢ | $32 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 35 | 87.6¢ | $31 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.