Market · 5 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 101.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| melee-rocket0x6c30…ba88 | No | 50 | 97.1¢ | $49 | — |
| LJW10xbef5…1d04 | No | 26 | 91.3¢ | $26 | — |
| trademaster40000x5936…c2d6 | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x9b62…042f | No | 10 | 95.2¢ | $10 | — |
| damiduo0x6606…4d70 | No | 9 | 98.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 9 | 81.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.